User:Omega Tyrant/The Smash 4 Character Prediction Game

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With Smash 4 on its way and everyone being hyped for it, lets make a game out of everyone's favorite thing to predict about the new Smash; which characters will be on the playable roster.

This game isn't about just who can predict the most characters, but who can also successfully predict the most unlikely characters as well.

Rules

  • Disclaimer: This may or may not be a fair game, I cannot know. It's purely for fun. Try not to go all super-math minmax serious.
    • Additionally, if you're an IP and you want to play, you must create an account so that your selections remain fully traceable back to you.
  • Players get 30 character selections. This value may be decreased for potential new players as more and more characters are confirmed.
  • Choose a character for each selection, either the return of a veteran or a newcomer, who has not been confirmed yet, that you think will make the playable roster in Smash 4. Additionally, you must make a minimum of 10 newcomer predictions.
  • If the character is confirmed or shows up playable in the final product, you will get points based on how common the pick was at the time of confirmation. Each correct pick will give a minimum point value of 1 (if everyone at the time picked it), with an additional point for each person that didn't pick the character. The accurate prediction of a newcomer will be worth double the points. The accurate prediction of a third party newcomer will be worth triple the points.
    • For bonus points, you can also predict if the character will have to be unlocked or will be a starter character. If you guess right, the points you get from that correct selection will increase 50%. If you guess wrong, the points you get will be decreased by 50%.
  • You can change your selections at any time up until the full roster reveal. However, for each changed selection, you will be penalised 1 point. Also keep in mind I may set a deadline before the full roster reveal and lock any changes or new predictions from being made.
    • For one more note, if a character you selected gets confirmed, that selection is locked and you cannot change it. This also applies to any characters you selected that get confirmed to not be returning.
    • You can however adjust your predicted unlocking status of any selection without incurring any penalty, as long as you don't overdo it.
  • Your ballot must have at least three different selections from the most similar ballot. This is to prevent people from copying the ballots of others.

Additional notes

  • If you think Pokemon Trainer as a whole will return, he is only worth 1 selection. If you think he won't though but his individual pokemon will, they each will be counted as separate selections.
    • Additionally, if you think pokemon of the PT will be replaced, each prediction will count as an individual selection. If you think there will be a new trainer, you must specify which trainer, and it will also count as an individual selection.
  • Majora's Mask Link (where he operates like the Pokemon Trainer and can utilise his transformation masks) counts as a single selection.
  • Mewtwo and his new form will be counted as separate characters. In the event that Mewtwo is added and uses both forms to fight, or a general Mewtwo is added who can use either model, both Mewtwo selections will be scored together.
  • Zelda and Sheik count as separate characters.
  • Removed Melee characters will be considered newcomers, and are thus worth double the points for a correct prediction.

Prize

The winner will receive the code to a $20 Wii U/3DS cash card, or a Wii/DS 2000 points card (whichever they choose). (The prize may be upgraded if I come onto more disposable money before the game completes)

Entrants

To submit an entry;

  • Create a new subsection here, with your username in the title, and it linking to your userpage.
  • Copy the table I use and paste it under your header, where you then just replace my selections with yours.
  • Note: If you're severely incompetent with wiki editing and cannot do this on your own, post your ballot on the talk page and someone will add it for you. Only do this if you really cannot figure out how to submit your ballot yourself.

Additional notes:

  • When adding your selections, you may include a (S) to signify you're predicting them as a starter character, or a (U) as an unlockable character. This is optional, see the prior rule about this.
  • Place returning veterans on top, and newcomers on the bottom. Additionally, try to organise by series.
  • When a character is confirmed, they will be striked out from each ballot they're on.
  • It's recommended you update the selected characters tables in the next section as you submit a ballot, so they remain accurate. If you can't do it though without messing them up, wait and I or another user will update them.

Omega Tyrant

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Diddy Kong (S)
  3. Wario (S)
  4. Yoshi (S)
  5. Ganondorf (U)
  6. Toon Link (U)
  7. R.O.B. (U)
  8. Meta Knight
  9. King Dedede (S)
  10. Olimar (S)
  11. Falco (S)
  12. Wolf (U)
  13. Lucario (U)
  14. Marth
  15. Ike (U)
  16. Mr. Game & Watch (U)
  17. Sonic (U)
  18. Rosalina
  19. Fawful (U)
  20. Dixie Kong
  21. Ridley (U)
  22. Palutena (U)
  23. Krystal
  24. Mewtwo (new form) (U)
  25. Zoroark
  26. Chrom (S)
  27. Lucina (U)
  28. Mii (S)
  29. Little Mac (S)
  30. Pac-Man (U)

Mr. Anon

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Diddy Kong (S)
  4. Wario (S)
  5. Yoshi (S)
  6. Ganondorf (U)
  7. Sheik (S)
  8. Zero Suit Samus (S)
  9. R.O.B. (U)
  10. Meta Knight (S)
  11. King Dedede (S)
  12. Olimar (S)
  13. Falco
  14. Charizard
  15. Marth (U)
  16. Ness
  17. Lucas
  18. Mr. Game & Watch (U)
  19. Snake (U)
  20. Bowser Jr.
  21. Kamek
  22. Ridley
  23. Medusa
  24. Krystal
  25. Mewtwo (U)
  26. Zoroark (U)
  27. Chrom
  28. Little Mac (U)
  29. Shadow (U)
  30. Pac-Man (U)

RickTommy

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Yoshi (S)
  4. Wario (S)
  5. Diddy Kong
  6. Zelda (S)
  7. Ganondorf
  8. Meta Knight (S)
  9. King Dedede (S)
  10. Falco
  11. Jigglypuff (U)
  12. Captain Falcon (S)
  13. Ness
  14. Lucas
  15. Ice Climbers (S)
  16. Marth
  17. Mr. Game and Watch
  18. Olimar (S)
  19. R.O.B. (U)
  20. Daisy (U)
  21. Birdo (U)
  22. Waluigi (U)
  23. Bowser Jr. (U)
  24. Kamek (U)
  25. Black Shadow (U)
  26. Little Mac (S)
  27. Takamaru (S)
  28. Ryota Hayami (S)
  29. Isaac (S)
  30. Lloyd Irving (U)

JamesHeart123

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Diddy Kong
  4. Yoshi (S)
  5. Zelda (S)
  6. Sheik (S)
  7. Zero Suit Samus (S)
  8. Falco
  9. Wolf (U)
  10. Captain Falcon (U)
  11. Squirtle (S)
  12. Lucario
  13. Jigglypuff (U)
  14. Ness (U)
  15. Lucas (S)
  16. Snake (U)
  17. Sonic (U)
  18. Bowser Jr.
  19. Kamek (U)
  20. Wolf Link
  21. Adam Malkovich (U)
  22. Magolor
  23. Krystal
  24. Mighty Gazelle
  25. Mewtwo (new) (U)
  26. Masked Man (U)
  27. Magnus (U)
  28. Isa Jo
  29. Lloyd Irving (U)
  30. Shulk

Terrible

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Diddy Kong (S)
  4. Wario (S)
  5. Yoshi (S)
  6. Ganondorf (U)
  7. Zero Suit Samus (S)
  8. R.O.B. (U)
  9. Meta Knight (U)
  10. King Dedede (S)
  11. Olimar (S)
  12. Falco (U)
  13. Captain Falcon (U)
  14. Jijgglypuff (U)
  15. Marth (U)
  16. Ike (S)
  17. Ness (U)
  18. Lucas (S)
  19. Mr. Game & Watch (U)
  20. Rosalina (U)
  21. Fawful (U)
  22. Dixie Kong (U)
  23. Dark Samus (U)
  24. Krystal (U)
  25. Zoroark (U)
  26. Chrom (S)
  27. Lucina (U)
  28. Clause (S)
  29. Little Mac (S)
  30. Mr. Sandman (U)

Dr. Pain 99

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Wario (S)
  4. Yoshi (S)
  5. Diddy Kong (S)
  6. Zelda (S)
  7. Ganondorf (U)
  8. Ice Climbers (S)
  9. King Dedede (S)
  10. Meta Knight (S)
  11. Olimar (S)
  12. Falco (U)
  13. Captain Falcon
  14. Jigglypuff (U)
  15. Marth (U)
  16. Ike (S)
  17. Ness
  18. Lucas
  19. Mr. Game and Watch (U)
  20. Sonic (U)
  21. Bowser Jr. (U)
  22. Paper Mario (U)
  23. Dixie Kong (U)
  24. King K. Rool (U)
  25. Zoroark (U)
  26. Mewthree (U)
  27. Chrom
  28. Little Mac
  29. Isaac
  30. Sora (U)

Lasifer

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Wario (S)
  4. Yoshi (S)
  5. Ness (U)
  6. Lucas (S)
  7. Diddy Kong (S)
  8. Zelda (S)
  9. Sheik (S)
  10. Ganondorf (U)
  11. Ice Climbers (S)
  12. Meta Knight (S)
  13. King DeDeDe (S)
  14. Wolf (U)
  15. Captain Falcon (U)
  16. Olimar (S)
  17. Jigglypuff (U)
  18. Mewtwo (Awakened form/new) (U)
  19. Marth (U)
  20. R.O.B. (U)
  21. Mr. Game & Watch (U)
  22. K. Rool (S)
  23. Geno (U)
  24. Ridley (S)
  25. Isaac (S)
  26. Genesect (U)
  27. Masked Man (U)
  28. Chrom (S)
  29. Little Mac (S)
  30. Takamaru (U)

Ixbran

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Diddy Kong (S)
  4. Wario (S)
  5. Yoshi (S)
  6. Zelda (S)
  7. Sheik (S)
  8. Ganondorf (U)
  9. Zero Suit Samus (S)
  10. Ice Climbers (S)
  11. R.O.B. (U)
  12. Captain Falcon (S)
  13. Jigglypuff (U)
  14. Marth (U)
  15. Ike (U)
  16. Ness (U)
  17. Lucas (S)
  18. Mr. Game & Watch (U)
  19. Majora's Mask Link (U)
  20. Vaati (U)
  21. Koume & Kotake (U)
  22. Mewtwo (Awakened form/new) (U)
  23. Mii (S)
  24. Takamaru (U)
  25. Simon Belmont (U)
  26. Sora (U)
  27. Terra Branford (U)
  28. Zhao Yun (U)
  29. Yukimura Sanada (U)
  30. Bayonetta (U)

DarkFox01

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Diddy Kong (S)
  4. Wario (S)
  5. Yoshi (S)
  6. Ganondorf (U)
  7. Toon Link (U)
  8. Meta Knight (S)
  9. King Dedede
  10. Olimar (S)
  11. Falco (U)
  12. Wolf (S)
  13. Jigglypuff (U)
  14. Lucario (U)
  15. Marth (U)
  16. Ike
  17. Ness (U)
  18. Mr. Game & Watch (U)
  19. Snake (U)
  20. Sonic (U)
  21. Bowser Jr.
  22. King K. Rool
  23. Krystal
  24. Black Shadow
  25. Mewtwo (new form) (U)
  26. Zoroark (S)
  27. Chrom (S)
  28. Masked Man
  29. Little Mac (S)
  30. Pac-Man (U)

Dots

Ballot
  1. Luigi (U)
  2. Peach (S)
  3. Yoshi (S)
  4. Diddy Kong (S)
  5. Zelda (S)
  6. Sheik (S)
  7. Ganondorf (U)
  8. Ice Climbers (S)
  9. Meta Knight
  10. King Dedede
  11. Olimar
  12. Falco (U)
  13. Wolf (U)
  14. Captain Falcon
  15. Jigglypuff (U)
  16. Marth (U)
  17. Ness
  18. Lucas
  19. Mr. Game & Watch (U)
  20. Rosalina
  21. Fawful
  22. Bowser Jr.
  23. Dixie Kong (S)
  24. Ridley
  25. Krystal
  26. Mewtwo (original) (U)
  27. Mewtwo (new form) (U)
  28. Zoroark (U)
  29. Claus/Masked Man (U)
  30. Little Mac (S)

Erik the Appreciator

Ballot
  1. Peach
  2. Diddy Kong
  3. Wario
  4. Sheik
  5. Toon Link
  6. Zero Suit Samus
  7. Ice Climbers
  8. R.O.B.
  9. Olimar
  10. Captain Falcon
  11. Jigglypuff
  12. Ike
  13. Mr. Game & Watch
  14. Snake
  15. Sonic
  16. Bowser Jr.
  17. Waluigi
  18. King K. Rool
  19. Vaati
  20. Viridi
  21. Krystal
  22. Mewtwo (original)
  23. Zoroark
  24. Samurai Goroh
  25. Chrom
  26. Little Mac
  27. Isaac
  28. Matthew
  29. Andy
  30. Ray Mk III

MegiBeelzebub

Ballot
  1. Chrono
  2. Luigi
  3. Samurai Goroh
  4. Geno
  5. Ridley
  6. Ray Mk III
  7. Ninten
  8. Meta Knight
  9. Mewtwo (new)
  10. Krystal
  11. Little Mac
  12. Chibi-Robo
  13. Felix
  14. Ike
  15. Ganondorf
  16. Waluigi
  17. Rosalina
  18. Camus
  19. King K. Rool
  20. Wolf
  21. Vaati
  22. Professor Layton
  23. Saki Amamiya
  24. King Dedede
  25. Snake
  26. Diddy Kong
  27. Zelda
  28. Sheik
  29. Mr.Game and Watch
  30. Pokemon Trainer

Selected characters

The following tables keeps track of how much each character been selected thus far.

You may update the values, whether it be right after you submit a ballot, or someone else does without updating this and I'm not around. When adding a newcomer though to the newcomer table, keep them organised by series, and put newcomers from new series at the bottom, above third party newcomers from new series.

Do not update this however when a character is confirmed, I'll handle it myself.

11 users have submitted a ballot thus far.

Veterans

Character Number of selections Confirmed
Luigi 10 No
Peach 10 No
Diddy Kong 11 No
Wario 9 No
Yoshi 10 No
Zelda 6 No
Sheik 6 No
Ganondorf 9 No
Toon Link 3 No
Zero Suit Samus 5 No
Ice Climbers 6 No
R.O.B. 7 No
Meta Knight 8 No
King Dedede 8 No
Olimar 9 No
Falco 8 No
Wolf 5 No
Captain Falcon 8 No
Pokemon Trainer (same trainer and mons) 0 No
Charizard 1 No
Ivysaur 0 No
Squirtle 1 No
Lucario 3 No
Jigglypuff 8 No
Marth 9 No
Ike 6 No
Ness 9 No
Lucas 8 No
Mr. Game & Watch 10 No
Snake 4 No
Sonic 5 No

Newcomers

Character Number of selections Confirmed
Rosalina 3 No
Fawful 3 No
Bowser Jr. 7 No
Paper Mario 1 No
Daisy 1 No
Birdo 1 No
Waluigi 2 No
Dixie Kong 4 No
King K. Rool 4 No
Kamek 3 No
Wolf Link 1 No
Link (Majora's Mask) 1 No
Vaati 2 No
Koume & Kotake 1 No
Ridley 4 No
Adam Malkovich 1 No
Dark Samus 1 No
Palutena 1 No
Medusa 1 No
Magnus 1 No
Viridi 1 No
Magolor 1 No
Krystal 7 No
Mewtwo (original) 3 No
Mewtwo (new form) 7 No
Zoroark 7 No
Genesect 1 No
Samurai Goroh 1 No
Black Shadow 2 No
Mighty Gazelle 1 No
Chrom 7 No
Lucina 2 No
Claus/Masked Man 5 No
Shadow 1 No
Mii 2 No
Little Mac 9 No
Mr. Sandman 1 No
Takamaru 3 No
Ryota Hayami 1 No
Isaac 4 No
Matthew 1 No
Andy 1 No
Ray Mk III 1 No
Isa Jo 1 No
Pac-Man 3 No
Simon Belmont 1 No
Lloyd Irving 2 No
Shulk 1 No
Sora 2 No
Geno 1 No
Terra Branford 1 No
Zhao Yun 1 No
Yukimura Sanada 1 No
Bayonetta 1 No

Results

This section remains empty for now, but as characters are confirmed, users will be added here and have their score kept track of. Other users may not edit this section.